La Liga Betting Tips
Our man in Spain @Millar_Colin has identified some great value La Liga betting tips this weekend. Read on for more.
Leganes v Sevilla
Sevilla have not won an away league match this season, or indeed any of last season. Leganes meanwhile, have never won a home game in the top flight (ok, they’ve only played three, and two of those have been against Atletico and Barcelona…). Both these runs will end sooner rather than later – Sevilla’s wretched away form is one of the most bemusing aspects of Spanish football such is the strength of their team. Sevilla currently sit pretty in 3rd while Leganes bright start sees them in 11th.
Take the Draw at 3.5 with BoyleSports – Considering the home and away records of both sides you can’t back any side to win with confidence. Sevilla tend to save their best performances for the big occasion and draw so many matches on the road against teams of this calibre.
Barcelona v Deportivo
Barca missed the chance to top the table going into the international break with their enthralling 4-3 loss in Vigo, meaning instead they slipped to fourth. It has been a poor start by Barca’s high standards and anything other than a win here would make their league form a genuine concern. Deportivo have drawn both of their last two visits to Camp Nou 2-2, and three of the last four have ended in draws. Will there be more Galician glee against Barca?
Ivan Rakitic Anytime Goalscorer at 3.5 with various – The Croatian has already netted twice in the league this season and his late runs into the box could be what undoes the Depor defence – who will inevitably sit deep and allow space for Barca’s midfield. The Croat scored in this fixture last season too.
Atletico Madrid v Granada
It’s top against bottom at the Calderon as in-form Atletico host a Granada team who have been badly out of sorts this season. El Grana sacked coach Paco Jemez after only two points from six games and then put in an atrocious performance in a home defeat to Leganes before the break and look a team of strangers (well, they did sign 17 players this summer). Atletico are the total opposite – it’s hard to think of another European side with such a strong playing identity and togetherness.
Atletico to ‘Win to Nil’ at 1.5 with PaddyPower – Atletico have still conceded only two goals all season long and one of them was at Camp Nou, so a clean sheet for them is about as safe a bet as you can make all weekend. And is the outcome of this match, such has been the gap between the side’s performance levels. Diego Simeone’s side could get a big score, but a win to nil is highly favourable.
Real Betis v Real Madrid
Four straight draws for Real Madrid, three in the league, have sounded early alarm bells against the Madrid-dominated Spanish press who fear that momentum has well and truly gone following 16 consecutive LaLiga wins and the Champions League title. They will be missing Sergio Ramos, Marcelo, Casemiro and Luka Modric for this fixture at a ground where Zidane has never won (3 defeats and 2 draws as a player, one draw as a coach). Betis have made a steady but unspectacular start to the season, but a win on Saturday night could ignite Gus Poyet’s reign.
Take the Draw at 5.5 with various – these odds should be much shorter but they have not reflected a few issues such as Real Madrid’s recent poor form, their injury list and their record in Andalucia. Zidane’s has personally never won at this stadium and dropped his first points as manager here earlier this year. Last season Madrid also lost at Sevilla and drew at Malaga, but it’s the unbalance caused by injuries that are most likely to cause a well-drilled Betis to earn at least a point.
Athletic Bilbao v Real Sociedad
The first Basque derby of the season has arrived and the San Mames will be rocking as Athletic Club host their traditional rivals. Fan relations are fairly amicable – shirts of both teams mingle both inside and outside the grounds – and expect to see plenty of Basque flags and pro-independence banners. Only two points separate the sides who are reasonably well matched and this game will have plenty of passion, but may not be one for the purists.
Take Under 2.5 goals at 1.76 with Marathon Bet – only seven goals have been scored in the past five meetings between these two and fewer than 2.5 goals have gone in each of the last six and eight of the past nine clashes. Expect another tight affair here with few goals.
Sporting Gijon v Valencia
Sporting have picked up only one point from their last five fixtures but still above Valencia, who have now lost five of their opening seven matches and lie in the bottom three. This will be Cesare Prandelli’s first match in charge of Los Che and El Molinon is one of the league’s most intimidating venues. It’s a tough one to call with both sides off-form, but the visitors may hold an edge with the new manager ‘bounce’ effect.
Duje Cop Anytime Goalscorer (Sporting) at 3.5 – the Croatian forward has netted three times in five games this season and scored for Malaga against Valencia last season, while Prandelli will be working hard to fix a defence which has conceded at a rate of two goals per game this season.
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