Eredivisie Betting Picks 14-15 October
Roda JC v NAC Breda
Roda JC won last time out against Sparta Rotterdam (1-2) having attempting just 5 shots. Also they had just 39.5% of ball possession. They stole the ball often from Sparta and we’re really effective at creating goalscoring opportunities through individual skill. They are a bit too aggressive but who can blame them. NAC Breda on the other hand lost at home against ADO Den Haag (0-1). They had 16 shots (5 from set pieces), 4 on target and hit the woodwork twice. NAC should’ve won this game.
Key stat: Under 2.5 goals 3/4 Roda home matches against Promoted
Recommended bet: Under 2.5 goals at 2.05 with Marathonbet
Roda JC scores on avg 1 goal per game while NAC scores 1.3 goals per game. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3/4 NAC Breda’s away matches against Bottom-six teams.
Feyenoord v PEC Zwolle
Feyenoord won 0-4 against a defensively weak performance by AZ Alkmaar. Really not much to say about that game. Feyenoord were effective by scoring 4 goals with just 10 shots. PEC Zwolle is playing pretty well sitting in 4th place winning 4 of their 7 matches. Just 1 point below Feyenoord. Although it is just the beginning of the season, it only tells us that PEC is having a really good start of the season.
Key stat: Zwolle have lost by two or more goals in 8/9 away matches against top-six teams.
Recommended bet: Feyenoord -1.5 (Asian Handicap) at 2.07 with Bet365.
Feyenoord have won 13/14 home matches while Zwolle have lost 8/9 away matches against top-six teams. Feyenoord have won 14/20 by 2 or more goals. Last 6 matches Feyenoord v PEC Zwolle: Feyenoord scored 15 goals (2.5 pg) PEC Zwolle 0 goals. Feyenoord is really dominating at home, recording 0 losses last season. PEC haven’t managed to score at De Kuip in the last 4 years. I expect Feyenoord will win this with 2 or 3 goals difference.
Heracles v Vitesse
Vitesse took all point back home when they were playing away so far this season. They’re sitting in 3th place having only lost one (W4-D2-L1). They won from Ajax at their home where they were defending comfortably (1-2). Scoring 8 goals (2.67 pg) and conceding just 2 (0.67 pg). They’ve attempted 9.7 shots per game away this season and managing to score 8 goals. Heracles lost from a rising Twente away from home. Heracles lost some key players in top striker Armenteros, left wingback Gosens, AM Bruns (Vitesse). They are a much weaker side this season.
Key stat: H Almelo have lost 6/8 home matches against top-six teams
Recommended bet: Vitesse to win at 2.2 with Interwetten.
Vitesse have won their last 3 away matches (Eredivisie). Vitesse is still a bit up and down this season. Playing really well in Eredivisie, lost a cup game against an amateur club and in Europe it is not that good. This international break will be good for them, making them prepared and ready to beat their first opponent in Heracles.
Groningen v AZ Alkmaar
Groningen is still unbeaten at home this season (W2-D2). Last 2 home games have been under 2.5 goals. They’ve lost at PEC Zwolle last round (thankfully for us) 3-2. They’ve conceded 23 shots and 3 goals. They took 13 shots and made 2 goals, so they’re effective at scoring. AZ is really struggling right now, many considered them as the team who can make it difficult for the top 3 and aim for the 3rd of 4th spot. Now they’re at the 8th position with 12 points (W4-L3). The last 2 home games they’ve had 29 attempts at goal and scored 0. They’ve conceded 6 goals the last 2 matches.
Key stat: 60% of matches between these sides had under 2.5
Recommended bet: Under 2.5 goals at 2.72 with Marathonbet
The bookies favours over 2.5 goals because of the previous results. Groningen 5/10 under 2.5 v top half. AZ 5/10 under 2.5 v Middle-third. There have been under 2.5 goals in 10/14 Groningen home matches. I think the bookies over value the over 2.5 and will take a shot at the unders.
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